Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 547 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

DL 547 · LAX → MCO

departs 10:27 PM PT · arrives 6:25 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 547 · LAX → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?