DL 828 · ATL → ICT

departs 11:13 AM ET · arrives 12:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 828 · ATL → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?