Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 861 LANDED 8:35 PM HT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 861 · LAX → HNL

took off 6:05 PM PT · landed 8:35 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HNL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 861 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time