Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
DL 8889 · PIE → MKE
departs 4:01 PM ET · arrives 5:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.