Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8907
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
DL 8907 · LAN → LAX
departs 2:01 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
2pm departures from LAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAN
Weather at each end
LAN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.