Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8949
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
DL 8949 · YYC → BFI
departs 11:01 PM MDT · arrives 11:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BFI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at BFI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BFI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
YYC is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into BFI at that hour are usually not late
↓
BFI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
BFI (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.