DL 910 · LAX → TPA

took off 11:06 PM PT · landed 6:17 AM ET (scheduled 10:56 PM PT → 6:41 AM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 910 · LAX → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?