Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 948 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 948 · DFW → LAX

departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 948 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?