Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AER LINGUS · FLIGHT EI 134 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

EI 134 · BOS → SNN

departs 6:31 PM ET · arrives 4:49 AM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at SNN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNN

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EI 134 · BOS → SNN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNN?