Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 515 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

ET 515 · EWR → LFW

departs 9:57 PM ET · arrives 12:04 PM GMT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at LFW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LFW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LFW

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 515 · EWR → LFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to LFW?