ET 575 · ORD → ADD

departs 10:11 AM CT · arrives 7:52 AM EAT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ADD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ADD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ADD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ADD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 575 · ORD → ADD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ADD?