Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ETIHAD · FLIGHT EY 6 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

EY 6 · IAD → AUH

departs 3:12 PM ET · arrives 11:17 AM +04

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at AUH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at IAD that day

↓ Arrivals into AUH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

AUH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EY 6 · IAD → AUH

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUH?