Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 1036 · DTW → TPA
departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.