Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1055 · MCO → CLE
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 22%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.