Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1056
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1056 · CLE → MCO
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.