Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1147
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1147 · PHL → ATL
departs 6:14 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 45%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1 52%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.