Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1157
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1157 · EWR → ATL
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 54%
Mon 11/2 48%
Tue 11/3 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.