Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1342
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 1342 · DFW → ORD
departs 4:12 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 42%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.