Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1448 · SFO → ATL
departs 10:10 PM PT · arrives 6:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 45%
Tue 11/3 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.