Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1545 · RSW → CLE
departs 9:10 PM ET · arrives 12:06 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.