Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1550
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1550 · ATL → JAX
departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.