Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1670
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 1670 · ATL → RDU
departs 12:04 AM ET · arrives 1:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 20%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 42%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.