Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 1689 · TTN → TPA
departs 11:34 AM ET · arrives 2:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 31%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at TPA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.