Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 2008 · FLL → DTW
departs 8:26 PM ET · arrives 11:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 10/28 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.