Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2198 · ORD → ATL
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 38%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.