Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2216 · TPA → SJU
departs 10:42 AM ET · arrives 1:55 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at TPA that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.