Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2251 · MCO → CLE
departs 9:46 PM ET · arrives 12:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.