Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2401 · TPA → DFW
departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.