Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2458
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2458 · SJC → LAX
departs 2:06 PM PT · arrives 3:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 24%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SJC are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.