Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2742
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2742 · MCO → TTN
departs 4:22 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at TTN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TTN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
TTN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.