Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2871 · SJU → ATL
departs 5:15 PM AT · arrives 9:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.