Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 2959 · IAD → FLL
departs 6:17 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Wed 10/28 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 63%
Sat 10/31 40%
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from IAD are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at IAD that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.