Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3311
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 3311 · MCO → DEN
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.