Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 3424 · DFW → LGA
departs 3:11 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Wed 10/28 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 58%
Sat 10/31 29%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.