Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3458
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 3458 · ATL → LGA
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 10/28 26%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 64%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 54%
Mon 11/2 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 57% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.