Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 3560 · BNA → MCO
departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 11:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.