Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3767
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 3767 · RIC → MCO
departs 3:48 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.