Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4025
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 4025 · MCO → ATL
departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 6:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.