Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4075
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 4075 · ATL → IAH
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 10:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±9 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.