Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 9412 · BQN → DFW
departs 6:55 PM AT · arrives 10:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 8.66667 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.