Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ICELANDAIR · FLIGHT FI 622 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

FI 622 · EWR → KEF

departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 6:10 AM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at KEF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KEF?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KEF

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KEF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

FI 622 · EWR → KEF

Odds over time

How late will it get to KEF?