Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1012 · PIE → HGR
departs 4:06 PM ET · arrives 6:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HGR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HGR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HGR?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HGR at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at HGR that day
↓
HGR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
HGR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.