Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1199 · BMI → SFB
departs 8:21 PM CT · arrives 11:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BMI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
SFB is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BMI
↓
BMI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BMI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.