Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1206 · LSE → SFB
departs 10:41 AM CT · arrives 2:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LSE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
10am departures from LSE are usually not late
↓
LSE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LSE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.