G4 1278 · BGR → SFB

departs 6:31 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1278 · BGR → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?