Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G4 1279 · SFB → LIT
departs 12:24 PM ET · arrives 1:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.