Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1321
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
G4 1321 · FWA → SFB
departs 8:13 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
FWA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.