G4 1387 · GRR → SRQ

departs 6:48 PM ET · arrives 9:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SRQ that day

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1387 · GRR → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?