Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1401 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

G4 1401 · SRQ → TYS

departs 2:51 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ SRQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

TYS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1401 · SRQ → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?