G4 142 · AUS → LAS

departs 6:11 PM CT · arrives 7:14 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 142 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?